Category: Precious Metals

  • Off Mall for Precious Metals

    Why hold precious metals?

    While I am a big advocate of investing in stock indexes for the maximum long term growth potential, there are two reasons why investing some of your money into precious metals may be a good idea.

    a. If you are the type of person who feels compelled to sell when the stock market is going down.

    b. If you might need to take out money when the stock market isn’t doing great.

    Not always, but it’s often the case that Gold and other precious metals fare better when the stock market is doing worse, and vice versa. At the moment, gold is at an all time high, while the US stock-market is also at its highest point in several years. This is largely because gold has been bolstered by the uncertainty caused by multiple ongoing wars, while simultaneously the US stock market is in the middle of something of a AI boom.

    Still, when the stock market crashes is often when gold prices soar.

    If you are tempted to sell your stocks whenever the market takes a dive, having a holding of gold or other precious metals might make you feel safe enough to hold onto those stock investments and ride out the plunge. This is a good thing since buying and holding has historically been the best strategy.

    Likewise, if you know you will need to spend money sometime in the next few years, you should theoretically keep that money in cash – but stuff happens, and things come up. If you have money in precious metals, then you will have option selling them when the need arises. You can invest some of the money you don’t plan to spend soon into precious metals, knowing that the chances of precious metals and the stock market both dropping by equal amounts is slim.

    The advantage to holding precious metals over cash is, of course, that while prices fluctuate for other reasons, metals are basically immune to inflation. With the resurgence of inflation in Japan, this is particularly relevant.

    Where to buy precious metals in Japan?

    For purposes of this discussion, I’m going to assume you want to get the gold in your hands, and ignore “virtual” gold, such as EFTs, etc., which only exist on the computer.

    You can buy ingots from manufacturers like Ishifuku, Nihon Materials, Mitsubishi Materials, Tanaka Kikinzoku, and others.

    Some of these (such as Nihon Materials and Tanaka) have physical shops you can visit to buy ingots, while several of them also have “tsumitate” schemes where you can buy a flat amount (in yen) per month, which will be credited to your account. When your account has a high enough balance, you can “withdraw” the amount in the form of an ingot. All of them have a normal mail order service as well.

    Besides the above, there are various used shops around Japan which sell “used” ingots, coins, and of course jewelry.

    Investing in physical gold is tricky because a large ingot costs an extremely high amount of money.

    Large Ingots

    For example, if you wanted to buy a 100g gold bar right now… it would be something like 220 man yen – equivalent to several months of pay. Likewise, when you sell a large bar, you have to sell the whole bar at once even if you only need a little cash. This can lead to tax liability of you netted big profits.

    Small Ingots

    The smaller the ingot, though, the less efficient the transaction is. To take an extreme example, a 1g ingot costs well above the market price of gold, and doesn’t make any financial sense except as a novelty.

    Coins

    Gold coins tend to cost more than the market price of gold in general, but there are two main types:

    1. Commodity coins – The value is based mainly on the gold plus a markup for minting.
    2. Rare coins – The value is based mainly on the rarity of the coin.

    Investing in rare coins is more akin to investing in stamps or other collectibles, so we will not consider those here.

    The thing to understand is that with commodity coins, the price is mostly dictated by the spot price of gold, and they are usually a better deal than very small ingots.

    Jewelry

    Much like coins, gold jewelry is sold at a markup from the price of the raw gold, to cover manufacturing, marketing, and packaging costs. The markup can vary from item to item and brand to brand. In order to make gold more durable as jewelry, it is often allowed with other metals, leading to a less pure gold which is worth less for investment purposes. For example, many necklaces, rings, etc., are 18k instead of 24k gold. The same thing is true for Platinum, where you will often see PT900 or PT950 instead of 100% pure platinum.

    Used coins and jewelry

    Theoretically, gold is gold, and it doesn’t matter if it’s “used” or not – but especially for coins and jewelry, people will may more for a new pristine one than a scratched up used one. Even a scratched up coin will be worth at least the price of the gold it’s made from.

    The same thing is true for jewelry: Even a scratched up or broken piece of jewelry is usually worth at least the spot price of weight of the material it’s made from, discounted for purity.

    Ingots are discounted only very slightly, since there is not much of a premium placed on them to begin with.

    Where to buy used precious metals?

    Let’s say you want to buy some coins or jewelry such as rings, where could you buy them? There are many shops in Japan that focus on gold and precious metals, but one interesting thing is that many of the shops are only interested in buying them, not selling them. Presumably they are selling them in bulk to manufacturers.

    To be sure, there are shops that sell gold coins, platinum jewelry, etc. – but visiting lots of shops looking for the best deal can be very time consuming. If you line outside a major metropolitan area, then you may also not have a lot of choices close by.

    Can you trust online purchases?

    Obviously, you can trust purchases from the online stores of the ingot manufacturers – but what about other places?

    If you look on Mercari or Yahoo! Auctions, you can find gold coins, and even ingots for sale used. You can also find various jewelry for sale as well – but are these real?

    Sadly, there have been numerous cases where people have bought these items online and taken them to professionals to be examined, only to find that they are fake. Even in a low crime country like Japan, the temptation to take the money and run is just too high.

    For example, if I bought a gold coin on Mercari and took it to be tested, it would take me some time and effort. Once the results come back, I have to contact the seller and dispute the transaction. The seller could claim that I switched the item, etc. Sure, after a number of claims their account would be banned – but not before they made a tidy profit.

    As a result, I would say it’s advisable to stay away from any one on one personal transactions – online or in person.

    So then the question is what companies might be selling coins and jewelry online.

    Visiting a local “Hard Off” store recently, I noticed they had a few gold coins and some Gold, Silver, and Platinum jewelry.

    I asked if they tested this jewelry, and they said that indeed they did test it with the proper equipment prior to buying it. For the jewelry, they estimate the ratio of the weight of any diamonds, etc. vs. the metal, but for pure metal jewelry they know the purity and weight definitively.

    Since there were only a few items on display, I asked if there was any more. They told me that what I saw was all there was in stock at this store, but of course different stores had different items. More interestingly, they told me “You can always look online on the Hard Off Mall. Indeed, that is interesting!

    Given that they sell everything from appliances and video games to fancy glasses and tableware, you need to search for what you want – but they do have a variety of coins and jewelry at good prices.

    Most importantly, you know you’ll be getting what you pay for, since it’s a large public company and they test before they buy.

  • Investing in Gold in Japan

     To most people in most countries, investing in gold (or other metals) is something they hear about, but not something they actually do.  

    First, a brief primer on the benefits and drawbacks of investing in gold:

    We’ll start with the advantages:

    a. Unlike Gold has actual intrinsic (real) value.  It’s used for jewelry, electronics, dental work, industrial processes, investment (of course), and more.  Gold is something that people will always want for practical uses, and therefore it will always be possible to sell your gold.

    b. Gold is a hedge against inflation.  If the Japanese Yen, US Dollar, or any other currency goes down in value, the price of gold will not drop, but in fact go up in relation to that currency.  For example, if the Japanese Yen goes down 50% tomorrow, then gold will simply cost 50% more – which is to say that any gold you are holding can be sold for 50% more.  Inflation in Japan has been close to zero percent for a long time, but that is starting to change recently.  

    c. Gold is a hedge against currency exchange risk.  This is a variation on a theme, but if a currency drops reletive to other currencies, then you would be better off holding gold instead of that currency.  This isn’t just academic, as the US Dollar rose significantly against Japanese Yen in the past year.  

    d. There is a limited supply of gold.  Despite the best efforts of alchemists all over the world over the last several hundred years, gold can’t be created from anything else in anything anywhere near resembling a cost effective method.  That means that we have what we have, and the earth has only a limited supply.  Since gold is useful and there is always a demand, the limited supply means that there is a floor on the price of gold.  This is extremly unlikely to change, barring the advent of efficient space mining.  

    There are certain disadvantages, though, with some being country specific:

    a. Gold doesn’t earn interest, and it doesn’t pay dividends.   When you buy a loan like a bond, you are funding a company or government, and they will pay you for the privlidge of borrowing your money.  Ideally the amount you are paid should outweigh any inflation.  Bank accounts, likewise, are in fact just a loan to the bank, so banks will pay you interest as well.  When you invest in stock, you are buying part of a business.  If the business does well, then the value of the stock will go up according to the company’s growth potential or actual growth.  Companies like Sony, Toshiba, Hitachi, Google, Fujitsu, Apple, Amazon, and Rakuten earn profit and can pay dividends on a regular basis – whereas gold is just a lump of metal that doesn’t “do” anything.  It mainly goes up in value only if new uses are found, or the market is fearful.  A box of gold bars sitting in your house also doesn’t earn rent like a property can.  

    b. At least in Japan, purchasing gold is not considered to be exchanging money like, say, FX trading.  Gold is considered a physical good, and not a monetary instrument.  That means that you must pay sales tax when purchasing gold.  The sales tax in Japan is currently 10%, so in order to make money by investing in gold, the value would have to go up more than 10% in order for the investor to recover what they paid in sales tax, plus all of the fees involved in buying and selling the gold.  

    c. Spread and Transaction Fees.  Much like with currency exchange, gold dealers will charge a different fee to purchase gold than they sell it at.  This difference is called the “spread”, and exists to allow the company to make a profit regardless of parket conditions.  On top of that, buying and selling gold is also not free.  Besides the spread between buy and sell rates that exists, most companies that deal in gold charge transaction fees for buying and selling.  This is probably to cover fraud, security, and testing.  In general, the smaller quantity of gold you are dealing with, the larger the fees become relative to the transaction amount – though it varies by company.  

    d. Tax treatment.  Even if an investor buys gold, and the price goes up enough to make selling it profitable, a tax will be exacted on that profit  by the Government of Japan.  The tax rate is lower if you have held the gold for at least five years.  This rule is designed to discourage speculation, but it has the side effect that anyone who might need the money soon should avoid buying gold.  

    e. Security.  If you have invested a large amount in physical gold, then you need somewhere to keep it.  Just like cash, you can keep it in “the bank”, but then you may need to pay management fees to the gold dealer who is holding it.  

    For the reasons listed above, many Japanese people would prefer to invest in stocks, bonds, property, or just keep cash.  

    In some countries where the currency is less stable, there are fewer other opportunities for investing, or the tax regime is less strict, gold transactions are much more popular.  For example, in China, there are mom & pop shops that deal in “gold rice”, which is very small rice sized pieces of gold of well less than a gram that anyone can buy or sell for cash without any ID.  

    This makes sense, since the Chinese currency is not the most stable, and the same goes for the local stock market.  The government restricts transfers of money to other countries, and the huge property bubble that is collapsing as I write this isn’t going to encourage people to invest there.  

    It’s also easy to buy the small pieces of gold little by little over time and build up a nice little nest egg.  

    The situation is similar in many devloping nations, where people might fear hyperinflation or not trust the government or banks.  

    In Japan, it’s not super common for people to invest in gold.  There are multiple reasons for this, but probably the main ones are as follows:

    0. Lack of need.  Japan’s currency is relatively stable, people mostly trust the government, and there has been very little inflation over the past two decades.  This means that it’s very unlikely for people to make their 10% back on the basis of inflation alone.  Instead, people who buy gold are more likely to be speculators rather than investors, or the very wealthy.    

    1. It’s difficult to know where to buy gold.  You can but it multiple places, even online shopping sites like Amazon or Rakuten, but the prices are always far above the market rate, and it’s difficult to know if you might be getting scammed.  

    2. Budget.  The average person might have a few hundred USD to invest at any given moment, but the more famous dealers charge high fees for small transactions, or only deal in large amounts to begin with.  

    So the question becomes:  If you aren’t super wealthy, and you are interested in investing in gold in Japan, how can you do it in a cost effective way?

    Before getting to the most cost effective way, let’s look at some of the less efficient alternatives:

    1. Jewely and/or coins – You can purchase jewelry and/or coins at various small brokers and pawn shops in Japan, as well as online.  Typically the price you will pay is far above the price per gram for gold you will find listed on Google or Yahoo.  This is because the price will be affected by the “quality” of the piece.  The beauty, rarity, etc.  For example, a famous but rare limited edition coin may sell for much greater than the cost of the actual gold used to make it – in the same way that stamps can go for huge sums of money even though they are just pieces of paper.  Another thing to consider is that pure gold is very soft, and so therefore many companies will mix it with other harder metals in order to produce a metal with more ideal characteristics for making jewelry – This is where 18k gold comes from.  The result of all of this is that while investing in jewelry and coins might be a fun past-time for some people, it is not really the same thing as investing in gold itself.  Further, there is some small amount of worry about whether the items are indeed genuine.  

    2. Purchasing gold ingots, etc. at small shops or online.  You can find gold ingots at some small pawn shops and gold dealers, as well as online, but buying something like 1 gram of gold, you are likely to have to pay twice the official market price.  The same thing goes for novelty gold gift cards, etc.  For anything purchased from a random seller online, there is a fair chance that you might be getting scammed.  

    3. Investing in a gold related company – This is something many people have had confusion about.  People will invest in (for example) a gold mining company and then be surprised when the investment doesn’t turn out how they hoped.  Investing in a gold mining company or a gold dealer means you are investing in a company, not in the gold itself.  Most of these companies will do well even when the price of gold is lower, but they will not track the performance of gold, and it a company goes bankrupt because of scandal, regulatory compliance issues, or something else, you will lose your investment.  

    4. “Virtual” gold.  This is where you invest in gold online much like you can invest in foreign currencies with FX.  There is no specific gold assigned to you, and you can’t actually take delivery of the physical metal in most cases.  All you can do is sell it.  This is probably fine in most cases, but just beware that if the company goes bankrupt, then they may use the gold (if they have it in their posession) to pay off debts to credtors, suppliers, tax liabilities, employees, etc.  If you really want to keep gold in case of an economic crash, then you might want to have the ability to covert your holdings into the actual metal you can keep in your house or a safety deposit box.  

    5.  Other financial instruments: ETFs, Futures, or Options.   Basically speaking, Futures and Options can be used to hedge financial risk, or for speculation, but are not really suitable for long term investment.  ETFs vary widely based on how they are constructed, so research is warranted, but a gold related ETF may just be a basket of stocks for gold related companies.   

    6. In person through a major gold manufacturers.  This is where you take cash and go to one of the three large gold manufacturers in Japan, and walk out with a gold Ingot.  This is the most efficient way to buy and sell gold, assuming you are needing to buy or sell large quantities.  The three different companies all have different spreads, and charge different fees.  Amusingly enough, Costco has a deal with one of the manufacturers, where you can actually walk  into Costco in Kawasaki and walk out with gold in your hand.  

    7. Purchasing gold overseas.  You can certainly do this, but you must declare the gold when bringing it into Japan and pay import taxes.  If you do somehow sneak it in, it won’t help you, because without proof of sales tax, you will need to pay sales tax when selling your gold to any reputable dealer.  Gives the word “Sales tax” a new meaning.  

    And finally…

    8. A gold investment plan.  These are designed to let you use Dollar Cost Averaging to purchase gold in relatively small amounts over time in an automatic fashion, just like a 401k allows you to invest a small amount with every paycheck.  

    Before we get into the details, let’s talk about the major gold manufacturers in Japan:

    1. Mitsubishi Materials – This is part of the Mitsubishi conglomerate, which has related companies ranging from banks to automotive companies.  You can think of this as a manufacturing conglomerate and bank that decided to branch out into ingots.  

    2. Tanaka Kikinzoku – Tanaka is basically a jewelry company that decided to branch out into the ingot business.  They do offer an investment plan, and deal in coins as well.   

    3. Nihon Material – Nihon material is much like Mitsubishi Material in that they are in industrial manufacturer that produces gold plates, film, pellets, etc., for industrial customers, and also happens to offer ingots and an investment plan.  

    Basically speaking, Mitsubishi is a famous name, and Tanaka is well known, so they both relatively low spreads, but charge very high fees for low quantities.  In fact, the last time I checked, Tanaka would charge a huge fee just to hold your gold.  This means they are only cost effective for those who have a lot to invest (at once, or monthly).  Nihon Material has a slightly higher spread, but it much more affordable in terms of fees.  

    This reflects the current situation, and may change over time, so please do your research before opening an account.  

    I’ll only go over the Nihon Material plan in detail, since that will be the best option for most people.  

    Application Process:  You need to open an account before you can go anything.  The gold industry is slightly behind the times, so you will need to fill out a form online, but they will then mail you an application form to fill in, and send back with copies of your ID and bank account information, along with how much you would like to invest monthly, and into which metals.  You can invest as little as 3,000 JPY (Around $30) per month, making this a plan truly targeted at all people.  

    Once they have received your information and set up your account, they will send you another envelope with your login account and password information.  You can check your current invested and uninvested balance, and change your monthly contribution amounts, as well as request to buy, sell, or withdraw gold (more on that later).  

    Let’s say that you have some extra money burning a hole in your pocket – you can log in and purchase additional gold beyond your normal monthly contribution.  

    Likewise, if gold is super high at the moment and you feel like you want to sell some of it, you can – just beware, buying and selling manually somewhat defeats the purpose of automatic contributions and Dollar (or Yen) Cost Averaging (DCA).  

    The way the account works in practice is that every month on the same day, Nihon Material will withdraw the elected amount of money via direct debit from your bank account, and that money will go into your investment account and sit there as uninvested cash until the following month.  

    When the next month rolls around, they will invest a little of the money each day, so that by the end of that month, they have invested all of it.  Since they only buy on business days, and the number of business days varies per month, and so does the purchase amount per day.  

    For example, if you were investing 10,000 JPY (~$100 USD), then the daily investment this month would be 454 JPY per day.  If this month had more business days, then the amount invested per day would be less.  Likewise in a month with a lot of public holidays, the amount invested per business day will be more.   The important thing to remember is that the amount you invest per month is fixed, and they automatically deduct the cash and do the work of splitting it up into multiple daily transactions.  

    The amount of gold you can actually buy for that amount will also vary by day.  This may cound confusing, so let’s look at an example:

    At today’s rate, that 454 JPY would buy 0.04954 grams of gold.  That is close to 0.05 grams of gold, which means after 10 business days you would have 0.5 grams.  In a 20 business day month, you would get 1 gram.  This month has 22 business days, so it would work out to about 1.1 grams.  A gram is currently roughly a bit over 9,000 JPY so it roughly works out to something a bit more than 9900 JPY worth of gold, which sounds correct given our 10,000 JPY investment contribution example above.  

    It’s nice that they spli the purchase by day to give you the best average price, since the price of gold can sometimes change a lot in the course of a month.  It’s even nicer that they do this without taking transaction fees every time since there are so many transactions!  

    Everything that I have talked about up until now, you can also do with many online investment accounts, such as for example Crowd Bank.  Crowd bank will also let you set up an investment account with direct debit, and they will also split the amount up by day and automatically invest every day so you get the best average price.  Likewise, you can also do spot purchases and sales in addition to regular contributions.  

    The major difference is this:

    With gold manufacturers (including Nihon Material), you can actually withdraw the gold!  This means you can have the advantages of investing little by little with low fees, and also physically owning gold!  

    Basically, the way this works is that you just apply to receive a gold bar online, and they will send it to you.

    You can request 5g, 10g, 100g, with various options all the way up to 1kg.  

    The 100g and up bars have no “bar fee”, whereas the smaller bars do have them.  Given that the fees on something like 5g would be very significant in relation to the value, I would say that you should wait as long as you can before requesting a bar, with 100g being the best obvious choice.  If you are only able to invest a small amount, and a 100g bar would take forever, then perhaps 50g is not a bad option.

    Warning: You probably want to avoid the larger bars like 1kg even if you are super wealthy.   Why?  Well, for tax reasons.  

    As mentioned above, any gold you hold for more than 5 years can be sold with an advantagous tax disposition.  Besides that, profits below a certain amount can basically be ignored.  Each gold bar comes with a sales tax receipt and a serial number.  You can use these to prove the date of purchase, and that you have paid sales tax (otherwise you would have to pay it again!).  If you have a bunch of 100g bars, you could sell off a few every year to pay for your living expenses, starting with the older ones.

    If you have a 1kg bar, then you have to sell the whole thing!  The bar may be less than 5 years old, and also it may have generates a huge profit or loss.  If it’s generates a loss, then you probably don’t want to sell it, but you might need to if you really need the cash.  On the other hand, if it’s generated a huge profit, then you will immediately blow past the tax deductable amount of profit.  

    You can get Nihon Material (or one of the other companies) to convert a 1kg bar into 100g bars, for example, but all of the companies charge a huge fee for this because they can.  Why can’t you just sell your 1kg bar and buy 10 bars at 100g each?  Well, because then you are selling, and buying, so you have to pay the taxes mentioned above, plus sales tax again.  Ouch!  So as long as the companies keep their re-bar fees lower than that, then people will pay.  

    So… avoid the smallest bars for fee efficiency reasons, and avoid the largest bars for tax efficiency reasons.  

    I have left Tanaka and Mitsubishi out of the discussion because they have higher fees in general for smaller bars, so the extent that it seems like they are actively trying to discourage anyone who is not wealthy from investing.  Nihon Material offers you the chance to get your hands on real gold, while having a reasonable pricing structure.  

    With the JPY falling against the dollar, inflation on the rise in Japan, gold rising to an all time high, and the instability in the financial markets as well as political instability recently, investing in gold might make sense to a lot of people.

    Investing a huge amount of money at once while the prices is at historical highs hardly makes any sense, but neither does waiting – so an investment account with cost averaging is the perfect solution.  Whether you have $30 per month or $1,000 per month to invest, Nihon Material has you covered.  If you have more than that, then you might get a better deal with one of the other companies, since the spread potentially becomes a more significant factor vs. the fixed fees.